Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Peverley wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 55.4% vs Bozak 54.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 65.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 66.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 66.7%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Peverley
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Peverley
Bozak
Last 10: Peverley 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
5
Peverley
Bozak
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
7
Peverley
Bozak
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Peverley
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (800)
54.2% (962)
+1.7%
Power Play
54.8% (219)
57.9% (266)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
58.4% (149)
52.1% (188)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Peverley is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Peverley shoots right. Bozak is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Peverley
Bozak
Home
57.3% (590)
58.6% (732)
Away
54.4% (586)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Peverley
Bozak
P1
56.0%
54.1%
P2
58.1%
55.0%
P3
54.0%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
57.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |