Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nash wins 35.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 45.8% vs Bozak 52.4% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 75.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 64.0%
Neutral zone
Nash 67.3%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Nash
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Nash
Bozak
Last 7: Nash 2-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Nash
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Nash
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (270)
52.8% (697)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
50.9% (171)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
53.3% (195)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Nash is 35.8% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Nash shoots right. Bozak is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Nash
Bozak
Home
44.2% (147)
52.1% (530)
Away
44.4% (142)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Nash
Bozak
P1
39.1%
54.1%
P2
47.8%
50.6%
P3
45.5%
53.4%
Final 5 min
42.0%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |