Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.2% vs Bozak 55.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 58.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 62.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 60.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Johansen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Johansen
Bozak
Last 8: Johansen 2-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Johansen
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Johansen
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,006)
56.4% (837)
-4.5%
Power Play
56.0% (207)
60.8% (186)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
33.3% (36)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Johansen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Johansen shoots right. Bozak is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Johansen
Bozak
Home
56.4% (633)
58.7% (516)
Away
48.1% (613)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Johansen
Bozak
P1
51.4%
55.7%
P2
52.9%
53.4%
P3
51.7%
59.7%
OT
84.6%
63.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |