Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 55.1% vs Bozak 53.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 60.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 57.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 58.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Johansen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Johansen
Bozak
Last 8: Johansen 2-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
6
Johansen
Bozak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,157)
53.6% (977)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.5% (237)
52.2% (186)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
100.0% (6)
-56.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Johansen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Johansen shoots right. Bozak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Johansen
Bozak
Home
55.8% (733)
55.4% (583)
Away
55.1% (728)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Johansen
Bozak
P1
53.5%
51.9%
P2
55.9%
51.1%
P3
57.2%
57.9%
OT
47.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |