Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.5%). Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 40 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Bozak 53.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 56-35 in 91 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 56.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 54.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 52.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Johansen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
56
(91 meetings)
35
56
Johansen
Bozak
Last 10: Johansen 1-9 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
16
16
Johansen
Bozak
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
14
26
Johansen
Bozak
40 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
14
Johansen
Bozak
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
53.7% (9,596)
-0.6%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
55.2% (1,990)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
48.0% (1,094)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Johansen shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Johansen
Bozak
Home
55.0% (7,001)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Johansen
Bozak
P1
53.2%
53.2%
P2
53.9%
52.8%
P3
52.8%
54.5%
OT
58.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |