Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 48.0% vs Bozak 56.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 71.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 54.2%
Neutral zone
Gagner 61.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Gagner
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Gagner
Bozak
Last 9: Gagner 3-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Gagner
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gagner
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (310)
56.5% (1,119)
-10.0%
Power Play
50.4% (115)
58.4% (226)
-8.0%
On even strength, Bozak has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gagner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Gagner shoots right. Bozak is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Gagner
Bozak
Home
52.4% (212)
60.1% (682)
Away
42.7% (213)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Gagner
Bozak
P1
46.2%
57.7%
P2
52.2%
53.7%
P3
43.6%
59.0%
OT
33.3%
55.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |