Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 48.3% vs Bozak 56.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 54.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 82.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 70.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Crosby
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Crosby
Bozak
Last 6: Crosby 5-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
0
Crosby
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (1,360)
56.5% (1,119)
-9.7%
Power Play
53.8% (357)
58.4% (226)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
50.0% (20)
-4.8%
On even strength, Bozak has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Crosby is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (621).
Crosby shoots left. Bozak is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Crosby
Bozak
Home
51.0% (867)
60.1% (682)
Away
45.4% (881)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Crosby
Bozak
P1
50.8%
57.7%
P2
47.9%
53.7%
P3
46.5%
59.0%
OT
35.1%
55.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
48.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |