Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zajac wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zajac 57.6% vs Bozak 53.9% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 69.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 58.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 62.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Zajac
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zajac
Bozak
Last 6: Zajac 2-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Zajac
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
1
Zajac
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zajac
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (1,044)
55.4% (719)
+3.3%
Power Play
59.2% (211)
45.1% (51)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (191)
50.0% (60)
+3.9%
On power play, Zajac has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Zajac is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Zajac shoots right. Bozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Zajac
Bozak
Home
60.2% (741)
55.5% (443)
Away
56.0% (705)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Zajac
Bozak
P1
53.1%
53.3%
P2
62.0%
54.7%
P3
59.0%
55.4%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
58.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |