Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Bozak wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 53.3% vs Jost 40.7% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 79.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 56.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 68.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Bozak
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bozak
Jost
Last 5: Bozak 3-2 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
0
Bozak
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bozak
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bozak
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (977)
38.5% (200)
+15.1%
Power Play
52.2% (186)
8.3% (12)
+43.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (6)
35.3% (17)
+64.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Bozak shoots right. Jost is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Bozak
Jost
Home
55.4% (583)
40.7% (113)
Away
51.9% (586)
32.8% (116)
By Period
Bozak
Jost
P1
51.9%
30.2%
P2
51.1%
35.1%
P3
57.9%
45.6%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |