Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Bozak wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 46.2% vs Jost 42.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 68.0%
Defensive zone
Jost 64.4%
Neutral zone
Jost 63.7%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Bozak
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Bozak
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Bozak
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Bozak
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (338)
40.8% (314)
+5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
37.5% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
39.4% (104)
-6.8%
On power play, Bozak has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Bozak shoots right. Jost is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Bozak
Jost
Home
47.9% (194)
42.8% (264)
Away
42.5% (193)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Bozak
Jost
P1
40.2%
37.4%
P2
51.4%
40.5%
P3
43.1%
43.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |