Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bozak wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 53.9% vs Jost 42.7% (+16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 76.2%
Defensive zone
Bozak 84.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 80.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Bozak
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bozak
Jost
Last 6: Bozak 4-2 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Bozak
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bozak
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
0
Bozak
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (719)
36.4% (140)
+19.0%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
66.7% (6)
-21.6%
On power play, Jost has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Bozak shoots right. Jost is 34.7% vs right-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Bozak
Jost
Home
55.5% (443)
40.0% (80)
Away
53.0% (387)
34.8% (66)
By Period
Bozak
Jost
P1
53.3%
33.9%
P2
54.7%
45.3%
P3
55.4%
32.4%
Final 5 min
55.1%
30.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
37.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |