Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +21.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 54.3% vs Jost 38.0% (+21.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 55.7%
Defensive zone
Bozak 61.2%
Neutral zone
Jost 54.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Bozak
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bozak
Jost
Last 5: Bozak 2-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
0
Bozak
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Bozak
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Bozak
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (483)
32.7% (226)
+24.6%
Power Play
57.5% (73)
36.0% (25)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (104)
50.0% (4)
-7.7%
On even strength, Bozak has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bozak shoots right. Jost is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Bozak
Jost
Home
57.8% (332)
34.7% (124)
Away
52.1% (328)
32.1% (131)
By Period
Bozak
Jost
P1
52.7%
29.5%
P2
55.6%
33.0%
P3
56.7%
37.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
21.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |