Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bozak wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 55.4% vs Jost 47.5% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 78.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 88.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 79.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Bozak
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Bozak
Jost
Last 10: Bozak 6-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
3
Bozak
Jost
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
2
Bozak
Jost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
1
Bozak
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (271)
47.7% (287)
+10.6%
Power Play
60.6% (33)
62.5% (8)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (78)
39.2% (51)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Bozak is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Bozak shoots right. Jost is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Bozak
Jost
Home
60.7% (206)
49.5% (190)
Away
52.3% (176)
43.6% (156)
By Period
Bozak
Jost
P1
57.3%
43.2%
P2
57.8%
52.5%
P3
56.2%
44.5%
Final 5 min
54.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |