Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Bozak wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 53.0% vs Rask 50.9% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 56.9%
Defensive zone
Rask 51.3%
Neutral zone
Rask 54.8%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Bozak
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Bozak
Rask
Last 10: Bozak 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
5
Bozak
Rask
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Bozak
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
2
Bozak
Rask
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,244)
51.4% (863)
+2.4%
Power Play
53.1% (356)
55.9% (34)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (175)
23.8% (21)
+25.3%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Bozak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,145).
Bozak shoots right. Rask is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Bozak
Rask
Home
57.7% (892)
53.2% (494)
Away
48.6% (883)
48.3% (424)
By Period
Bozak
Rask
P1
54.0%
49.2%
P2
54.4%
48.9%
P3
51.0%
54.4%
OT
56.4%
63.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Victor Rask |