Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 53.4% vs Rask 50.1% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 34-33 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 52.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 74.8%
Neutral zone
Bozak 55.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Bozak
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
33
(67 meetings)
34
33
Bozak
Rask
Last 10: Bozak 5-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
6
13
Bozak
Rask
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
14
4
Bozak
Rask
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
14
16
Bozak
Rask
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (9,596)
50.0% (4,428)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.2% (1,990)
54.3% (363)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (1,094)
35.2% (54)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Bozak shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Bozak
Rask
Home
56.0% (6,333)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
51.0% (6,396)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Bozak
Rask
P1
53.2%
50.7%
P2
52.8%
48.9%
P3
54.5%
50.7%
OT
52.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |