Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Bozak wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 55.4% vs Karlsson 53.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 66.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 68.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 56.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Bozak
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Bozak
Karlsson
Last 10: Bozak 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
4
Bozak
Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
6
1
Bozak
Karlsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
0
Bozak
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (271)
55.5% (659)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.6% (33)
59.3% (172)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (78)
39.1% (128)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bozak is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Bozak shoots right. Karlsson is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Bozak
Karlsson
Home
60.7% (206)
53.9% (488)
Away
52.3% (176)
54.1% (471)
By Period
Bozak
Karlsson
P1
57.3%
50.5%
P2
57.8%
54.8%
P3
56.2%
56.3%
OT
0.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |