Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bozak wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 46.2% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 80.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 80.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 80.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Bozak
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Bozak
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Bozak
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Bozak
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (338)
51.4% (735)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
63.5% (115)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
42.9% (133)
-10.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Bozak shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Bozak
Karlsson
Home
47.9% (194)
52.3% (524)
Away
42.5% (193)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Bozak
Karlsson
P1
40.2%
50.7%
P2
51.4%
51.4%
P3
43.1%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | William Karlsson |