Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ennis on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthias wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 45.4% vs Ennis 43.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ennis 52.7%
Defensive zone
Ennis 50.1%
Neutral zone
Ennis 50.7%
Result
Tyler Ennis favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Matthias
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Matthias
Ennis
Last 5: Matthias 1-4 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
0
1
Matthias
Ennis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ennis
1
3
Matthias
Ennis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (310)
39.8% (329)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
55.6% (45)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
66.7% (3)
-22.9%
On penalty kill, Ennis has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Matthias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Matthias shoots left. Ennis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Matthias
Ennis
Home
40.7% (172)
44.5% (191)
Away
47.4% (175)
39.2% (186)
By Period
Matthias
Ennis
P1
47.4%
42.7%
P2
46.0%
37.7%
P3
39.4%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
39.0%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.1%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |