Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 48.2%). Look for Flynn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Flynn wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 47.9% vs Johnson 48.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.4%
Defensive zone
Flynn 58.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 58.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Flynn
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Flynn
Johnson
Last 5: Flynn 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
1
Flynn
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Flynn
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (312)
48.7% (941)
+0.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
49.6% (133)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
44.8% (201)
-1.9%
On power play, Johnson has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Flynn is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Flynn shoots right. Johnson is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Flynn
Johnson
Home
46.4% (168)
50.5% (588)
Away
48.0% (221)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Flynn
Johnson
P1
43.3%
49.4%
P2
49.6%
47.3%
P3
49.2%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |