Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.7% vs Johnson 48.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 56.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 57.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 57.6%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Jarnkrok
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Jarnkrok
Johnson
Last 8: Jarnkrok 5-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jarnkrok
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (601)
49.5% (828)
-2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
54.9% (142)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
36.8% (133)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Jarnkrok is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Johnson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Johnson
Home
44.5% (362)
50.7% (564)
Away
48.4% (279)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Johnson
P1
48.5%
51.2%
P2
45.9%
47.5%
P3
44.7%
48.4%
OT
16.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |