Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.2%). Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 48.5% vs Johnson 48.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 60.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 77.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 63.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Cizikas
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Cizikas
Johnson
Last 6: Cizikas 5-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (775)
48.7% (941)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
49.6% (133)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (206)
44.8% (201)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Cizikas is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Cizikas shoots left. Johnson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (862).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Johnson
Home
52.7% (490)
50.5% (588)
Away
44.3% (521)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Cizikas
Johnson
P1
46.6%
49.4%
P2
47.5%
47.3%
P3
51.1%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
48.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
48.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |