Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.0%). Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 51.2% vs Johnson 51.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 54.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Helm 53.6%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Helm
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Helm
Johnson
Last 6: Helm 2-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Helm
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (343)
51.2% (825)
+0.1%
Power Play
63.6% (44)
56.9% (160)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
51.1% (137)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Helm is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Helm shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Helm
Johnson
Home
54.7% (212)
56.9% (583)
Away
48.1% (208)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Helm
Johnson
P1
49.7%
55.1%
P2
52.6%
53.0%
P3
52.5%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
58.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |