Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 45.0% vs Johnson 49.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 53.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 59.9%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 56.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Dickinson
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dickinson
Johnson
Last 6: Dickinson 2-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Dickinson
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Dickinson
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (404)
47.2% (286)
-1.7%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
61.8% (55)
-36.8%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
33.3% (12)
-4.3%
On power play, Johnson has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Dickinson is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Dickinson shoots left. Johnson is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Johnson
Home
50.2% (219)
55.0% (151)
Away
37.7% (228)
44.6% (202)
By Period
Dickinson
Johnson
P1
45.0%
42.3%
P2
41.1%
56.2%
P3
45.0%
47.3%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
43.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |