Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 48.2%). Look for Larsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.1% vs Johnson 48.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 53.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 52.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 56.4%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Larsson
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Larsson
Johnson
Last 7: Larsson 4-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Larsson
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (258)
48.7% (941)
-0.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
49.6% (133)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
44.8% (201)
-4.8%
On power play, Johnson has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Larsson is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Larsson shoots left. Johnson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (862).
Home / Away
Larsson
Johnson
Home
46.8% (154)
50.5% (588)
Away
48.1% (131)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Larsson
Johnson
P1
50.5%
49.4%
P2
48.5%
47.3%
P3
43.2%
48.1%
Final 5 min
56.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
47.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |