Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 51.0% vs Johnson 48.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 80.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 63.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 57.9%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Larsson
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larsson
Johnson
Last 5: Larsson 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Larsson
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Larsson
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (696)
48.5% (776)
+2.8%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
56.7% (157)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
26.4% (53)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Larsson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Larsson shoots left. Johnson is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Larsson
Johnson
Home
51.1% (356)
48.8% (482)
Away
51.1% (403)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Larsson
Johnson
P1
54.6%
50.3%
P2
51.9%
48.5%
P3
46.7%
47.0%
OT
54.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |