Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.5% vs Johnson 50.1% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 80.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 78.1%
Neutral zone
Johnson 79.7%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Toews
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Toews
Johnson
Last 7: Toews 2-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Toews
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Toews
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,115)
51.8% (548)
+6.6%
Power Play
61.3% (256)
51.7% (58)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (182)
40.7% (113)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Toews shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Toews
Johnson
Home
59.5% (783)
53.6% (371)
Away
56.4% (770)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Toews
Johnson
P1
58.4%
50.9%
P2
59.4%
50.2%
P3
55.9%
48.9%
OT
61.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
58.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |