Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Foligno wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Johnson 49.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 52.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 55.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.4%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Foligno
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Foligno
Johnson
Last 10: Foligno 6-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
7
5
Foligno
Johnson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
5
Foligno
Johnson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
4
3
Foligno
Johnson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
49.8% (5,396)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
54.6% (885)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
42.3% (707)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Foligno shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Foligno
Johnson
Home
49.9% (2,013)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Foligno
Johnson
P1
47.6%
50.1%
P2
50.4%
50.6%
P3
48.3%
48.4%
OT
29.7%
42.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 4, 2017 | OT | 04:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |