Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 45.7% vs Johnson 48.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 56.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 60.7%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Hischier
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hischier
Johnson
Last 6: Hischier 4-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
1
Hischier
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
0
Hischier
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Hischier
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (879)
49.4% (399)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (68)
52.9% (34)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
37.5% (40)
-0.7%
On even strength, Johnson has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hischier is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Hischier shoots left. Johnson is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Hischier
Johnson
Home
42.7% (499)
49.8% (229)
Away
48.0% (467)
47.5% (244)
By Period
Hischier
Johnson
P1
48.2%
45.0%
P2
40.7%
49.1%
P3
46.4%
50.3%
OT
52.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
45.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |