Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Suter wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 43.6% vs Johnson 53.7% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 52.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 59.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Suter
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Suter
Johnson
Last 10: Suter 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
3
1
Suter
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Suter
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Suter
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (551)
55.3% (284)
-13.9%
Power Play
50.8% (59)
50.0% (26)
+0.8%
On even strength, Johnson has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Suter is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Suter shoots left. Johnson is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Suter
Johnson
Home
43.8% (317)
57.4% (162)
Away
41.2% (308)
52.0% (148)
By Period
Suter
Johnson
P1
46.2%
51.5%
P2
39.2%
61.8%
P3
41.9%
47.4%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Pius Suter |