Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 49.2% vs Johnson 51.8% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 75.2%
Defensive zone
Johnson 50.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 57.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Nash
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Nash
Johnson
Last 10: Nash 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
4
Nash
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nash
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
7
0
Nash
Johnson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (481)
51.2% (825)
-0.3%
Power Play
27.3% (11)
56.9% (160)
-29.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (70)
51.1% (137)
-11.1%
On power play, Johnson has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Nash is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Nash shoots right. Johnson is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Nash
Johnson
Home
46.5% (282)
56.9% (583)
Away
51.8% (280)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Nash
Johnson
P1
48.5%
55.1%
P2
47.3%
53.0%
P3
51.0%
48.8%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 13:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Riley Nash |