Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 48.5% vs Johnson 49.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 25-17 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 64.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 54.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Nash
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
17
(42 meetings)
25
17
Nash
Johnson
Last 10: Nash 6-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
5
11
Nash
Johnson
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
6
4
Nash
Johnson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
14
2
Nash
Johnson
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (4,621)
49.8% (5,396)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.0% (249)
54.6% (885)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (550)
42.3% (707)
+2.6%
On power play, Johnson has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Nash shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Nash
Johnson
Home
50.2% (2,740)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
46.7% (2,681)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Nash
Johnson
P1
49.0%
50.1%
P2
47.9%
50.6%
P3
48.0%
48.4%
OT
68.4%
42.5%
Final 5 min
45.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 13:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Riley Nash |