Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 51.4% vs Johnson 53.7% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 57.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 57.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 59.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Johansen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Johansen
Johnson
Last 10: Johansen 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
4
Johansen
Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
1
Johansen
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
4
Johansen
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (615)
55.3% (284)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.3% (140)
50.0% (26)
+4.3%
On power play, Johansen has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Johansen is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Johansen shoots right. Johnson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Johansen
Johnson
Home
52.4% (389)
57.4% (162)
Away
50.8% (433)
52.0% (148)
By Period
Johansen
Johnson
P1
53.4%
51.5%
P2
49.1%
61.8%
P3
51.5%
47.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |