Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 47.5% vs Johnson 48.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 54.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 57.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Strome
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Strome
Johnson
Last 8: Strome 3-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Strome
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (234)
49.5% (828)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
54.9% (142)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
36.8% (133)
+1.0%
On power play, Strome has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Strome is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Strome shoots right. Johnson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Strome
Johnson
Home
49.6% (137)
50.7% (564)
Away
44.5% (182)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Strome
Johnson
P1
56.8%
51.2%
P2
43.5%
47.5%
P3
42.6%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |