Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ott wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 53.7% vs Johnson 51.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 50.1%
Defensive zone
Ott 82.6%
Neutral zone
Ott 72.8%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Ott
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Ott
Johnson
Last 10: Ott 7-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
4
1
Ott
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ott
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
0
Ott
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (208)
51.2% (825)
+7.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.9% (160)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (66)
51.1% (137)
-5.6%
On even strength, Ott has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Ott is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (134).
Ott shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Ott
Johnson
Home
53.5% (101)
56.9% (583)
Away
55.9% (177)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Ott
Johnson
P1
57.0%
55.1%
P2
57.7%
53.0%
P3
48.6%
48.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |