Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.1%). Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 51.8% vs Smith 51.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 50.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 51.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.8%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Johnson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Johnson
Smith
Last 6: Johnson 5-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
4
0
Johnson
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
0
Johnson
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Johnson
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (825)
53.5% (430)
-2.3%
Power Play
56.9% (160)
47.7% (65)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (137)
49.1% (114)
+2.0%
On power play, Johnson has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Johnson shoots right. Smith is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Johnson
Smith
Home
56.9% (583)
54.0% (298)
Away
46.6% (539)
50.2% (311)
By Period
Johnson
Smith
P1
55.1%
55.4%
P2
53.0%
45.9%
P3
48.8%
54.6%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2017 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |