Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 50.6%). Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 49.7% vs Smith 50.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 27-23 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 63.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 64.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.9%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Johnson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
23
(50 meetings)
27
23
Johnson
Smith
Last 10: Johnson 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
14
8
Johnson
Smith
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
5
10
Johnson
Smith
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
8
5
Johnson
Smith
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,396)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.8%
Power Play
54.6% (885)
51.2% (342)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (707)
45.3% (985)
-3.0%
On power play, Johnson has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Johnson shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Johnson
Smith
Home
52.5% (3,460)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
46.8% (3,528)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Johnson
Smith
P1
50.1%
49.9%
P2
50.6%
50.0%
P3
48.4%
51.9%
OT
42.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |