Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 50.1% vs Smith 48.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 61.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 61.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.6%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Johnson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Johnson
Smith
Last 6: Johnson 4-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
0
Johnson
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johnson
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
1
Johnson
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (548)
49.7% (485)
+2.1%
Power Play
51.7% (58)
46.8% (47)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (113)
38.6% (88)
+2.1%
On power play, Johnson has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Johnson shoots right. Smith is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Johnson
Smith
Home
53.6% (371)
48.7% (310)
Away
46.3% (348)
47.1% (310)
By Period
Johnson
Smith
P1
50.9%
45.8%
P2
50.2%
47.4%
P3
48.9%
50.5%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |