Scouting Report
Justin Robidas holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Robidas 49.2% vs Motte 44.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Robidas 65.5%
Defensive zone
Robidas 54.9%
Neutral zone
Robidas 64.1%
Result
Justin Robidas favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Robidas
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Robidas
Motte
Last 5: Robidas 4-1 Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Robidas
2
0
Robidas
Motte
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Robidas
1
0
Robidas
Motte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Robidas
Motte
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Robidas
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (17)
40.8% (130)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Motte has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Robidas is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Robidas shoots right. Motte is 33.9% vs right-shot opponents (59).
By Period
Robidas
Motte
P1
40.0%
42.0%
P2
33.3%
44.7%
P3
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Robidas
47.6%▬
47.6%
44.4%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Justin Robidas |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Justin Robidas |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Justin Robidas |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Justin Robidas |