Scouting Report
Yakov Trenin holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Motte wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Motte 44.9% vs Trenin 48.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Motte 61.1%
Defensive zone
Motte 65.0%
Neutral zone
Motte 62.5%
Result
Tyler Motte favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Motte
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Motte
Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
1
Motte
Trenin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
1
Motte
Trenin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Motte
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (130)
48.8% (41)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
16.7% (6)
+26.2%
On power play, Motte has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Motte is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Motte shoots left. Trenin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Motte
Trenin
Home
39.3% (61)
53.8% (26)
Away
42.9% (84)
31.8% (22)
By Period
Motte
Trenin
P1
42.0%
42.3%
P2
44.7%
50.0%
P3
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
41.4%
Trenin
46.0%▲
40.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Yakov Trenin |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |