Tyler Motte vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Motte wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Motte 44.0% vs Girgensons 45.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Motte 54.7%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 56.1%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 51.5%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Motte
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Motte
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Motte
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Motte
1
0
Motte
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
2
Motte
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Motte
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (424)
45.4% (2,700)
-1.8%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
49.1% (175)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (66)
42.2% (481)
-4.3%
On power play, Girgensons has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Motte is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Motte shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Motte
Girgensons
Home
45.2% (248)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
40.6% (254)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Motte
Girgensons
P1
44.6%
45.7%
P2
42.1%
44.1%
P3
41.8%
45.5%
OT
0.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
41.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%