Tyler Motte vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Motte wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Motte 44.0% vs Girgensons 45.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Motte 55.0%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 53.9%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 51.2%
Result
Tyler Motte favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Motte
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Motte
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Motte
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Motte
1
0
Motte
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
2
Motte
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Motte
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (424)
45.2% (2,648)
-1.6%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
48.9% (174)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (66)
42.0% (469)
-4.1%
On power play, Girgensons has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Motte is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Motte shoots left. Girgensons is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,012).
Home / Away
Motte
Girgensons
Home
45.2% (248)
45.3% (1,651)
Away
40.6% (254)
44.6% (1,640)
By Period
Motte
Girgensons
P1
44.6%
45.7%
P2
42.1%
43.7%
P3
41.8%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
41.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
45.0%