Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Motte wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Motte 44.9% vs Girgensons 48.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Motte 50.9%
Defensive zone
Motte 50.9%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 51.9%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Motte
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Motte
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Motte
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Motte
1
0
Motte
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
2
Motte
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Motte
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (130)
47.2% (127)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Motte is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Motte shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Motte
Girgensons
Home
39.3% (61)
50.0% (80)
Away
42.9% (84)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Motte
Girgensons
P1
42.0%
40.5%
P2
44.7%
54.3%
P3
37.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
41.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
41.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%