Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Soderberg wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.5% vs Seguin 55.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 59.5%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 74.3%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 62.7%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Soderberg
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Soderberg
Seguin
Last 5: Soderberg 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Soderberg
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
0
Soderberg
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Soderberg
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (559)
55.9% (789)
-8.9%
Power Play
63.6% (77)
52.1% (48)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (83)
44.4% (9)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Soderberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Soderberg shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Seguin
Home
46.1% (369)
57.3% (382)
Away
48.3% (350)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Soderberg
Seguin
P1
49.2%
55.1%
P2
47.7%
57.5%
P3
44.7%
53.7%
OT
33.3%
61.1%
Final 5 min
38.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 00:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |