Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Seguin 54.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 57.8%
Defensive zone
Brassard 67.3%
Neutral zone
Brassard 66.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Brassard
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brassard
Seguin
Last 6: Brassard 2-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Brassard
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
55.0% (713)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
56.7% (104)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Brassard
Seguin
Home
51.7% (143)
56.2% (443)
Away
48.3% (143)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Brassard
Seguin
P1
46.4%
54.2%
P2
50.6%
52.9%
P3
53.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |