Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.9%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 53.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 62.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 57.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Lindholm
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lindholm
Seguin
Last 6: Lindholm 2-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Lindholm
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Lindholm
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (636)
53.9% (996)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.1% (161)
56.4% (94)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (140)
52.1% (165)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lindholm is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Lindholm shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Seguin
Home
56.1% (490)
55.9% (633)
Away
52.3% (447)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Lindholm
Seguin
P1
53.2%
55.8%
P2
57.1%
51.7%
P3
53.0%
54.5%
OT
40.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |