Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Seguin 53.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 21-13 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 69.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 74.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 70.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Miller
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
21
(34 meetings)
13
21
Miller
Seguin
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
6
8
Miller
Seguin
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
8
Miller
Seguin
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
5
Miller
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
53.7% (8,071)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
55.9% (810)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
49.3% (762)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Miller
Seguin
Home
55.9% (4,578)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Miller
Seguin
P1
54.7%
52.8%
P2
55.6%
53.3%
P3
54.0%
54.7%
OT
62.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:28 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |