Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mitchell wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.0% vs Seguin 55.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 55.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 89.3%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 67.7%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Mitchell
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Mitchell
Seguin
Last 6: Mitchell 0-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Mitchell
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Mitchell
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (676)
55.9% (789)
-3.4%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
52.1% (48)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (155)
44.4% (9)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Mitchell is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Mitchell shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Seguin
Home
52.2% (450)
57.3% (382)
Away
45.1% (399)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Mitchell
Seguin
P1
51.2%
55.1%
P2
50.2%
57.5%
P3
44.8%
53.7%
OT
80.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |