Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +25.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Johnson wins 34.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 38.1% vs Seguin 54.2% (-25.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 76.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 59.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 75.0%
Result
Kent Johnson favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Johnson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Johnson
Seguin
Last 6: Johnson 1-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Johnson
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Johnson
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
0
Johnson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
29.2% (130)
55.0% (713)
-25.8%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
56.7% (104)
-23.4%
On even strength, Seguin has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johnson is 34.6% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Johnson shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Johnson
Seguin
Home
27.3% (55)
56.2% (443)
Away
31.0% (84)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Johnson
Seguin
P1
22.2%
54.2%
P2
35.7%
52.9%
P3
31.4%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
31.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
36.0%▲
29.2%
29.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Kent Johnson |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |