Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Komarov wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 51.9% vs Seguin 54.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 81.9%
Defensive zone
Komarov 54.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 59.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Komarov
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Komarov
Seguin
Last 5: Komarov 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
3
0
Komarov
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Komarov
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (79)
55.1% (1,036)
-7.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.9% (174)
+43.1%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (132)
52.2% (230)
+3.1%
On power play, Komarov has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Komarov is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Komarov shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Komarov
Seguin
Home
57.1% (105)
58.9% (703)
Away
48.6% (107)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Komarov
Seguin
P1
54.4%
54.5%
P2
52.3%
53.7%
P3
53.1%
57.0%
OT
42.9%
45.8%
Final 5 min
64.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
52.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2018 | OT | 04:05 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |