Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 48.0% vs Seguin 51.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 56.4%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 55.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.6%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Kurashev
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kurashev
Seguin
Last 7: Kurashev 3-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kurashev
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
2
0
Kurashev
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Kurashev
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (184)
54.8% (135)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
58.3% (24)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
26.7% (15)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Kurashev has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kurashev is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Kurashev shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Seguin
Home
44.4% (63)
47.4% (95)
Away
48.3% (143)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Kurashev
Seguin
P1
53.8%
50.8%
P2
38.7%
57.1%
P3
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
63.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:37 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |