Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Seguin wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 53.6% vs Rask 50.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 82.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 57.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Seguin
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Seguin
Rask
Last 10: Seguin 8-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
2
4
Seguin
Rask
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
7
2
Seguin
Rask
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
0
Seguin
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (8,071)
50.0% (4,428)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.9% (810)
54.3% (363)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (762)
35.2% (54)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Seguin shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Seguin
Rask
Home
55.9% (4,759)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
51.4% (4,885)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Seguin
Rask
P1
52.8%
50.7%
P2
53.3%
48.9%
P3
54.7%
50.7%
OT
54.7%
52.1%
Final 5 min
54.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 13, 2017 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |